Tuesday, September 22

Nigeria’s external reserves have moved closer to the $55bn mark, extending a sustained recovery that has strengthened the country’s foreign-exchange buffer and placed the stockpile well above the Central Bank of Nigeria’s 2026 projection.

Nigeria’s external reserves are on course to cross the $55bn threshold following another increase in the country’s foreign-exchange holdings, driven largely by stronger crude-oil earnings and sustained foreign-exchange inflows.

Latest data from the Central Bank of Nigeria showed that gross external reserves rose to about $54.69bn on September 17, 2026, leaving the country less than $310m away from the $55bn milestone. The latest increase extends the strong accumulation recorded since the beginning of the year.

The reserve position has risen substantially from about $45.56bn recorded at the beginning of 2026. By September 14, reserves had reached $54.61bn, representing a $12.76bn, or 30.5 per cent, increase compared with the $41.84bn recorded a year earlier.

The latest rebound has been particularly pronounced since mid-year. Reserves crossed the $50bn level in June and subsequently climbed above $51bn in July before moving beyond $52bn in August.

They crossed $54bn in early September, reaching $54.08bn on September 3.

Analysts and market observers have linked the improvement partly to increased foreign-exchange receipts from crude oil-related activities, alongside other inflows into the Nigerian economy. CBN Governor Olayemi Cardoso previously attributed the reserve build-up to stronger FX inflows, including receipts from crude-oil-related taxes and third-party inflows.

Higher international oil prices have also provided a favourable backdrop for Nigeria, Africa’s largest oil producer. Brent crude was trading above $100 per barrel in mid-September, significantly above the $64.85 per barrel benchmark used in Nigeria’s 2026 federal budget.

The current reserve position is particularly significant because it is already above the CBN’s projected $51.04bn year-end 2026 target. The CBN’s macroeconomic outlook had anticipated that stronger oil earnings, sovereign borrowing and diaspora remittances would support reserve accumulation during the year.

The recovery has also coincided with improved conditions in Nigeria’s foreign-exchange market. A stronger reserve position gives the monetary authorities a larger external buffer for meeting international obligations and managing periods of pressure in the FX market, although reserves alone do not guarantee sustained currency stability.

The latest figure also places Nigeria close to levels last seen during the previous oil boom. The reserves stood at approximately $54.21bn in December 2008, making the current accumulation the strongest in almost 18 years.

With less than $1bn now separating Nigeria from the $55bn threshold, continued oil receipts, foreign capital inflows and relative stability in the FX market will be important to the next phase of reserve accumulation.

For policymakers, the renewed build-up provides additional external liquidity at a time when Nigeria continues to pursue reforms aimed at strengthening the naira, attracting investment and improving macroeconomic stability.

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Email Address: patrick.chilaka@emagesmultimedia.com Phone: +2349012345678

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